Bondlyの‌価格BOND

A record number of Eurozone companies now have bond yields that are lower than that of France 😂

Opinion: Fed's Rate Cut Once Again Will Benefit US Bond Holders

🚀 #Bitcoin Weekly Chart Analysis – Testing Historic Trendline 📊 Current Price Action: - $BTC trading at $115.4K after rejection from the $124.5K local high. - Price is retesting the long-term resistance trendline (connecting Dec 2017 & Nov 2021 tops). - This is the third major test of this trendline in Bitcoin’s history — a breakout here could confirm the start of Wave (5). 📉 Technical Indicators: #MACD: Bearish crossover forming, similar to late 2017 & 2021 tops, but still above zero line. Needs confirmation if it’s a fakeout or real reversal. #RSI: At 58, showing bearish divergence (lower highs) even as price made higher highs. Caution warranted, but still not in overbought territory. 🔑 Key Levels: - Resistance: $124.5K (local high) → breakout = Wave (5) acceleration. - Support: $108K; deeper support near $98K–$100K if correction extends. 🧠 Historical Context: - In Dec 2017 and Nov 2021, rejection from this trendline marked cycle tops. - This time, BTC already broke above it once and is now retesting → possible flip into support, which historically signals extended cycle. 🟢 Macro Bullish Drivers: - 📉 Fed Pivot Incoming: Rate cuts expected in next 3–6 months, easing liquidity conditions → historically fuel BTC rallies. - 🏦 ETF Demand: Continuous inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are absorbing mined supply. - 💵 Global Liquidity Expansion: U.S. fiscal stimulus (Trump’s spending promises, tariff-driven M2 expansion) is reflating risk assets. - Bond Yields Rolling Over: US20Y yields falling — every major BTC rally in this cycle has coincided with declining yields. - Institutional Adoption: BlackRock, Fidelity, and global banks are increasing BTC exposure. 📈 Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a make-or-break level. - If $108K holds and price breaks $124.5K, Wave (5) towards $150K–$200K remains in play. - Failure to hold support could bring a deeper correction, but macro conditions strongly favor continuation into Q1 2026.

JPMorgan Chase: Fed Rate Cut Could Hurt Stock and Bond Markets

U.S. Treasury Bond volatility $MOVE at its lowest level in more than 3.5 years